All indications are that, beginning in November, the scale of diplomatic relations between the United States and Latin America will increase. Although each has a different point of view, the three presidential candidates agree that Washington should pay more attention to Latin-American countries if it wants to influence the region.

The Cuban regime will continue what it began after the fall of the Soviet Union and the loss of its principal economic support: a slow and gradual transition, not in the direction of democracy, but towards a State-guided economy more open to the market. In other words, towards policies that are more in line with China and Vietnam’s. A good deal of the Cuban economy already takes the capitalist route. The rupture of the model, however, will not be traumatic; in the end, Cuba will end up being completely integrated into the international community. The problem will be how it will manage to do so.

For the benefit of all of its citizens, Latin America should leave behind the ideas of regressive utopias, and that of the cold war confrontation, in order to search for and take the path which is neither leftist nor rightist, but rather centrist. Progress and modernity are not in the extremes; in reality, they never were.

• The Globalization of Brazil
  por Marcelo Luchino