The Paper Factories After Madrid

An impulse for dialogue between Argentina and Uruguay

By Pablo Mieres (for Safe Democracy)

Pablo Mieres analyzes the mediating role of Spain in the conflict between Argentina and Uruguay over the installation of two cellulose factories along the banks of the river that divides them. In Mieres’ opinion, the dispute –which has been presented to the Hague and is starting to affect diverse sectors– may have some hopes for resolution now that the first timid steps have been taken at the meeting in Madrid.

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Church and State in Paraguay

Fernando Lugo: From bishop to president?

By Ricardo Israel Z. (for Safe Democracy)

Ricardo Israel Z. analyzes the ex Bishop Fernando Lugo’s candidacy for president of Paraguay and writes that while elections have been easily predictable for the large part of the country’s history, a new element of uncertainty has risen with Lugo. The ex Bishop is not an unknown, having a recognized history in the most excluded sectors.

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Malvinas/Falklands, 25 years later

Lessons from a war

By Fabian Bosoer (for Safe Democracy)

Fabian Bosoer analyzes the Malvinas/Falklands War, drawing modern day lessons from the 1982 policy blunder. In Bosoer’s opinion, the Malvinas War is a philosopher’s stone into Argentina’s history, enabling the study and understanding of the insidious influence of authoritarian regimes, the abuse of secret diplomacy, and the difficulty of mutual trust between peripheral and core countries. Argentina may have lost its claim on the Malvinas Islands, but it won something even more important: a return to democracy.

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In Caracas, Bolívar Reigns Supreme

Rewriting history into propaganda

By Pedro G. Cavallero (for Safe Democracy)

Pedro G. Cavallero writes about Ch

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Isabel’s Rendezvous with the Past

Is delayed justice denied justice?

By Pedro G. Cavallero (for Safe Democracy)

Pedro Cavallero writes about the recent call by Argentine judges to extradite Isabel Per

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A Cold Warrior Comeback

The election of Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua

By Pedro G. Cavallero (for Safe Democracy)

Pedro G. Cavallero writes on the reelection of Daniel Ortega to the Presidency of Nicaragua after a sixteen year hiatus from politics. Once an ardent revolutionary following in the footsteps of Castro, Ortega claims to have cast aside his inflammatory rhetoric. And despite the presence of Hugo Chavez at the swear-in ceremony, and the protests of electoral opponent Montealegre that Ortega has not changed, in Cavallero’s opinion, Ortega may be ready to finally give peace a chance. President Bush‘ congratulatory phone call immediately following Ortega’s victory may be just one step in the right direction away from anti-Americanism, towards moderation, collaboration, and peace.

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Paz Zamora’s New Latin American Left

Lessons for Bolivia’s future

By Pedro G. Cavallero (for Safe Democracy)

Pedro G. Cavallero writes on the difficulty that the Latin American Left has had in governing, according to former President of Bolivia, Jaime Paz Zamora. In Paz Zamora’s opinion, it is essential for the Left to create unity rather than division, to seek out friends in all political parties, and to avoid becoming lost in close-minded, partisan manoeuvring. A new trend of social democratization is sweeping Latin America. By branching out to create unity rather than division, Morales can also be a part of Latin America’s New Left.

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Waiting For The Kirchners

Argentina 2007: Latin America’s Last Election

By Fabi

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Daniel Ortega’s Second Opportunity

Pragmatism tempers a revolutionary past

By Rafael Moreno Izquierdo (for Safe Democracy)

Rafael Moreno Izquierdo analyzes Daniel Ortega’s second opportunity as President of Nicaragua. Despite his friendship with Raúl Castro, Hugo Chávez and Evo Morales, Ortega is not the same revolutionary that we remember from the seventies and eighties. He has managed to temper his revolutionary past with a strong dose of pragmatism to make him effective in the twenty first century. In Moreno Izquierdo’s opinion, Ortega’s election will not transform Nicaragua into a capitalist paradise, nor will the Nicaraguan economy model itself off of the highly regulated examples of Cuba or China. The future, therefore, will depend on Daniel Ortega’s ability to prove that he truly has changed, and on the politicians and businessmen of the United States and Europe to believe him.

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