The complex road to democracy in Bangladesh

Looking for the third route in the country of microcredits

By Rubén Campos, 27th March 2008

bangladesh.jpgPakistan, Myanmar and Thailand all exemplify how the argument that democracy is not the appropriate system or the democratically elected leaders are corrupt helps the military elites control the country. Bangladesh, with the opposing forces of Begum Khaleda Zia and Sheikh Hasina, could be added to this list. The upcoming postponed elections and the return of civil and political liberties appear to be the only way out of this narrow alley in which the provisional government has placed Bangladesh, states the author.

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Assessing the creation of the new civilian government in Pakistan

The announcement of a new prime minister will most likely not come until after the National Assembly’s first meeting

By Sohail Mahmood, 18th March 2008

zardarisharif3.jpgPakistan’s fledgling PPP and PML-N led coalition government appears promising, yet it faces many challenges upon inception: primary problems like rising inflation, joblessness, the growing strength of Islamic radicals, poverty, and a wheat and electricity crisis; but also rewriting the constitution, ousting Musharraf and dealing with the deposed judges. Fearing that a direct confrontation between the coalition and Musharraf would serve to destabilize Pakistan, the author timely reminds us of the adage politics is the art of compromise.

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The United States Takes Turkey Out of Iraq

How to resolve the Kurdish problem

By Ildefonso González Blasco, 18th March 2008

turcosvskurdos.jpgAfter days of a military offensive against the Kurdish rebels in northern Iraq, Turkey consented to withdraw its troops, in what appears to be a strategy to gain Washington’s trust and ensure that Ankara will have the possibility to carry out new, characteristically similar offensives (limited in scope and duration) in the near future. However, the Kurdish question will not be resolved until Turkey changes its mentality and puts policy before force when making decisions related to national security, states the author.

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The Danger of War in Andean America

The outbreak of the Colombian crisis generates a shock wave, bringing misfortune with it

By José Catalán Deus, 18th March 2008

correachavezuribe.jpgThe escalating tension between Colombia, Ecuador, and Venezuela is as incredible as it is dangerous. The shaky international community cannot allow an armed conflict to break out in the Andes region, or even a new focal point of tension in the American continent. Rhetoric can turn into drama, states the author.

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Castro succeeds Castro and “gatopardism” prevails

The “Fidelistas” stay in power and assure the continuity of the regime

By Julio Miranda, 13th March 2008

castrocastro1.jpgThe expectations that Fidel Castro’s resignation generated throughout the world are vanishing. Nothing augurs profound change, at least not in line with the change that world leaders are looking for. It looks like the day in which Cuba opens itself up to democracy, holds debates regarding the rights of the people and is incorporated into the global economy is far away, the author assures.

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Gaza: the consequences of the “Hot Winter”

The Israeli military operation, far from its intention, strengthens Hamas

By Adrián Mac Liman, 13th March 2008

gazabebe.jpgThe Middle East is experiencing a new escalation in the violence between Israeli soldiers and Hamas militants. According to the analysts, the only way out involves the reestablishment of a framework for global negotiation between the Israeli authorities and the Palestinian factions of the West Bank and Gaza, an option that could lead to the creation of another National Unity Government, provided that an agreement is reached beforehand. But in order for this to happen, the author states that Israel must renounce its project of getting rid of Hamas by force.

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Taiwan opposite Kosovo

Why Taipei is very far away from Pristina

By Xulio Ríos, 13th March 2008

taiwanonu.jpgThe supporters of Taiwanese independence consider Kosovo to be a precedent that encourages them not to give up in their struggle. Nevertheless, the differences between the two cases are obvious, and not only due to the democratic imperative necessary to constitute a state; neither the origin of the dispute nor the regional and international context of the two cases is similar either. This is why the consequences of Kosovo’s independence will probably be felt more in the South Caucasus (Transcaucasia) or Europe rather than in the Far East, states the author.

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Warsaw looks for new allies against Moscow

Will Donald Tusk succeed in calming the Russian spirits?

By Mercedes Herrero de la Fuente, 13th March 2008

tuskmerkel.jpgThe failed meetings between Warsaw and Moscow are numerous and complex. Poland continues to view Russia as a threat, but Donald Tusk’s brand new cabinet intends to confront its great neighbor with a new strategy: to promote negotiation in view of the conflict. The objective of Warsaw is two-fold: to win allies that reinforce their position with respect to Moscow and to promote a more united stance within the heart of the European Union, one critical of the Russian excesses.

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Brazil and the effects of the international financial turbulence

In view of the possible American recession, can refuge be found in the emerging economies?

By Marcelo Luchino, 6th March 2008

brasilbovespa.jpgToday Brazil receives an important flow of capital in the form of direct, as well as financial, investments, partly induced by the differential between the American and domestic interest rates. What would happen if the United States were to effectively slip into a recession and the Federal Reserve were to decide to continue lowering the rates? What would the consequences for the local economy be?

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