Castro succeeds Castro and “gatopardism” prevails

The “Fidelistas” stay in power and assure the continuity of the regime

By Julio Miranda, 13th March 2008

castrocastro1.jpgThe expectations that Fidel Castro’s resignation generated throughout the world are vanishing. Nothing augurs profound change, at least not in line with the change that world leaders are looking for. It looks like the day in which Cuba opens itself up to democracy, holds debates regarding the rights of the people and is incorporated into the global economy is far away, the author assures.

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Gaza: the consequences of the “Hot Winter”

The Israeli military operation, far from its intention, strengthens Hamas

By Adrián Mac Liman, 13th March 2008

gazabebe.jpgThe Middle East is experiencing a new escalation in the violence between Israeli soldiers and Hamas militants. According to the analysts, the only way out involves the reestablishment of a framework for global negotiation between the Israeli authorities and the Palestinian factions of the West Bank and Gaza, an option that could lead to the creation of another National Unity Government, provided that an agreement is reached beforehand. But in order for this to happen, the author states that Israel must renounce its project of getting rid of Hamas by force.

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Taiwan opposite Kosovo

Why Taipei is very far away from Pristina

By Xulio Ríos, 13th March 2008

taiwanonu.jpgThe supporters of Taiwanese independence consider Kosovo to be a precedent that encourages them not to give up in their struggle. Nevertheless, the differences between the two cases are obvious, and not only due to the democratic imperative necessary to constitute a state; neither the origin of the dispute nor the regional and international context of the two cases is similar either. This is why the consequences of Kosovo’s independence will probably be felt more in the South Caucasus (Transcaucasia) or Europe rather than in the Far East, states the author.

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Warsaw looks for new allies against Moscow

Will Donald Tusk succeed in calming the Russian spirits?

By Mercedes Herrero de la Fuente, 13th March 2008

tuskmerkel.jpgThe failed meetings between Warsaw and Moscow are numerous and complex. Poland continues to view Russia as a threat, but Donald Tusk’s brand new cabinet intends to confront its great neighbor with a new strategy: to promote negotiation in view of the conflict. The objective of Warsaw is two-fold: to win allies that reinforce their position with respect to Moscow and to promote a more united stance within the heart of the European Union, one critical of the Russian excesses.

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Brazil and the effects of the international financial turbulence

In view of the possible American recession, can refuge be found in the emerging economies?

By Marcelo Luchino, 6th March 2008

brasilbovespa.jpgToday Brazil receives an important flow of capital in the form of direct, as well as financial, investments, partly induced by the differential between the American and domestic interest rates. What would happen if the United States were to effectively slip into a recession and the Federal Reserve were to decide to continue lowering the rates? What would the consequences for the local economy be?

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The Italian elections: “Obama versus McCain”… Roman style

Silvio Berlusconi for the fourth time?

By José Catalán Deus, 6th March 2008

berlusconiveltroni.jpgIn a few weeks, Italy will elect a new government without resorting to the habitual scores of acronyms. The left and right are presenting new, more integrated and centered formulas, which (they hope) will signify an important step towards the bipartisanship that they yearn for. Italian politics are being Americanized, but the small parties on both sides of the political spectrum and in the disputed center will fight for their survival.

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The Bolivarian revolution’s “fiasco”

When will Venezuela head towards a modern democracy and a Welfare State?

By Ricardo Angoso, 6th March 2008

chavezmanoalzada2.jpgHugo Chavez’s flight forward is unprecedented in Venezuela’s history, states the author. Meanwhile, the social disorganization, the failure of the educational system, underemployment, shortages of supplies, uncontrollable inflation, police and judicial administrative inefficiency, steady poverty and political polarization (stronger than ever) completely discredit a revolution that announced better times for Venezuela, but has ended up being a true fiasco.

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Fixing Philippine education

The government has the right idea, but it needs to stabilize itself first

By Joel Adriano, 6th March 2008

filipinaseduc.jpgThe Philippine education system is marked by high dropout and repetition rates and low overall performance. Under a new definition of functional literacy, the rate could drop to as low as 6 percent. The author contends that the sector is afflicted with a myriad of problems, and although many government programs look promising, he points to governance as being the key.

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Social networks and the Facebook phenomenon: a reflection of a country’s modernity?

Technology can help bridge the digital gaps

By Juan Pedro García, 6th March 2008

facebook.JPGWhile some proclaim that the Internet has brought knowledge to within everyone’s reach, there are others who believe that technology has amplified the distance between the rich and the poor, between the digitally literate and the citizens without access to the knowledge that the Internet makes available. Be that as it may, the author believes that social networks like Facebook allow for interaction and the spread of knowledge and access to more information, and they constitute a valuable opportunity to bridge the digital gaps.

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