Safe Democracy Foundation - Safe Democracy

Today Brazil receives an important flow of capital in the form of direct, as well as financial, investments, partly induced by the differential between the American and domestic interest rates. What would happen if the United States were to effectively slip into a recession and the Federal Reserve were to decide to continue lowering the rates? What would the consequences for the local economy be?

• Brazil is looking to accelerate its growth
  por Marcelo Luchino
• The Globalization of Brazil
  por Marcelo Luchino

With the once-postponed elections almost upon us, the PPP is still riding on the crest of a sympathy wave and will most likely come out on top and reach an agreement with Sharif’s party. However, the United States continues to support Musharraf. The author argues that if this misguided trend continues, Islamic radicals could gain a stronger foothold in the region, which would certainly not aid the American-led global war on terror.

• Why Pakistan is a "desirable" state for radical Jihadism
  por Alberto Priego
• The aftermath of the Benazir assassination in Pakistan’s politics
  por Sohail Mahmood

Hugo Chávez needs the FARC for his carom shot on the great Bolivarian homeland table, which includes Colombian territory. Álvaro Uribe has reasons to confront Chávez and to line up behind him the national unit of Colombians that are being held in check and offended from both the inside and the outside. Washington backs Uribe, its main ally in South America, but it is in need of a Chávez that will guarantee that, at the end of the day, Venezuelan oil finds its way to the American gas pumps and tanks.

• The international mediation in Colombia, is it defusing the conflict?
  por José Luis Gómez Garavito

According to the author, recovering Argentina has been doing better and better ever since its economy became a mostly cash/equity game (while having very little consumer credit and very little foreign, national, corporate and mortgage debt), and the United States is bound to discover that its cure for anemic economic growth (credit) just might turn out to be toxic in the long run.

• The Globalization of Brazil
  por Marcelo Luchino
• The Challenges of Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner in Foreign Policy
  por Luciano Anzelini

The refusal of the United States to halt the installation of the anti-missile shield in Poland and the Czech Republic, and the mounting aggression between Washington and Moscow, gave the impression that a new Cold War atmosphere has come over International Relations.

• Kosovo´s final status: another chapter of turmoil in the Balkans?
  por Borja Lasheras
• Poland Wagers for Change
  por Mercedes Herrero de la Fuente
• Spain, before and after funding from the European Union
  por Ferran Requejo
• Anemia in the European Union
  por Luis Méndez Asensio
• Changes in the Russian Security Agenda
  por Rafael Calduch Cervera

Understand why the United States and his allies are unable to win in Iraq in spite of their overwhelming military force. Understand which is the role that plays the merger of the Wahhabi neo-fundamentalism, the Arab ultra-nationalism and the Shia revolutionism.

• Turkey´s diplomatic coercion with Iraq
  por Ildefonso González Blasco
• Protecting Americans by Spying at Home
  por Eric Napoli
• The Cold War with Iran
  por Ricardo Israel Zipper
• Uprising Against the 'War on Terror'
  por Arshin Adib-Moghaddam

The conflict with the Kurdish guerrillas of the Workers’ Party that confronts the Turkish army could culminate in a large-scale, dangerous war operative that would end the fragile balance of the new Iraqi State. Meanwhile, the relationship between Washington and Ankara is going through a period of strong and unusual turbulence. It is worth asking whether this is due to a simple situational uneasiness or if it is the accumulation of negative signals presaging a confrontation between the two strategic allies.

The new securities measures aim to protect the U.S., but offer no protection to its citizens’ privacy rights while giving the authorities carte blanche to spy on citizens without any Congressional or Judicial oversight.

To what is the continued US strategy in Iraq responding? Mitigating the effects of a civil war… or surrounding Iran? Understand in the following what George W. Bush and General Peatraeus said in their joint appearance before Congress. And most importantly: what they didn’t say with respect to Iran. The return of contention.