DemocratsDavid S. Broder

Gallup poll research by the political group Third Way is helping to explain why more Americans since 1992 are identifying themselves as conservative and the number of those who call themselves liberal is decreasing. Assuming voter turnout rates similar to 2008 and assuming Democratic candidates will carry the same national popularity as Obama, Third Way predicts that it is moderate voters who will determine the fate of the Democratic majority in 2010. Building on Third Way’s research, Broder concludes that there simply are not as many liberal votes to be won this election.

Broder is a twice-weekly columnist for The Post, writing on national politics.

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